"Charlie Munger FPL" - how did we do?

Using "Charlie Munger FPL", we are now at overall ranking 168, 241, following a 68-point haul on our wild card (20 points above average) - with a 32-point bench showing the quality of our reserves.

Mistakes of the week. A bad outcome is different from a bad decision, e.g. we don't think Cunha's 1-pt means it was a bad approach to double up on Manchester United attack against Burnley. (Mbeumo's points evened out the returns).

We also think other blanks were justifiable in the sense that the risk/reward made sense - the triple Spurs players took into account their upcoming fixture against West Ham which was looking decidedly weak (until their unexpected 3-0 showing against Nottingham this week).

But we will explore tweaks to our Paid-Subscription approach to see if we can better anticipate the decent performance by Crystal/Mateta, which we narrowly dropped.

Most importantly our decision to go with a GW3 wildcard seems justified even though the transfer window had not closed - we dropped players such as Dorgu, Trafford (now even more unlikely to play to Manchester City), Palmer, Wirtz, and P.M. Sarr, in exchange for players of more proven quality at this point.

And we are doing well because of "Charlie Munger FPL" - big, clean insights that rely on common cognitive biases in the rest of the community, e.g. we saw early and gave simple, strong arguments why Salah was overpriced, and Nottingham defence wasn't credible enough to warrant a double-punt, and other calls.

This produced a "reverse-differentials" strategy/edge - decisions that are low-risk, high-reward because it is the majority of players that are making the risky move.

We created this site for a bigger mission than FPL - which is to help users use FPL to analyse and improve their decision-making skills in their own life.

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